Analyzing NIC Asia Bank’s Q2: Net Profit Shrinks as Distributable Deficit Hits NPR 7.39 Billion
Author
NEPSE TRADING
KATHMANDU – NIC Asia Bank (NICA), once the poster child for aggressive growth in Nepal’s banking sector, continues to face a turbulent period. The bank’s second-quarter (Q2) financial results for the current fiscal year (FY 2082/83) reveal a continued slide in profitability and a mounting deficit in distributable funds, raising concerns among investors regarding its dividend capacity for the foreseeable future.
The bank reported a net profit of NPR 131.1 million for the first six months of the fiscal year—a 13.54% decline from the NPR 151.7 million recorded in the same period last year. This follows a broader trend of shrinking margins that has seen the bank's profitability plummet from its historic peaks.
The Twin Challenges: Falling Income and Rising Provisions The decline in the bank's bottom line is primarily driven by two factors: a significant drop in core lending income and an increase in risk-related costs.
Interest Income Squeeze: Net interest income—the bank's primary revenue stream—fell by 15.87%. This suggests that the bank is struggling with higher costs of funds or a decrease in high-yield lending.
Provisioning Pressure: Impairment charges (funds set aside for potential loan defaults) rose to NPR 2.43 billion. As the bank grapples with a surge in non-performing assets, these heavy provisions have eaten away at the operational surplus, causing operating profit to crash by 42.16%.
The Distributable Deficit: A Major Red Flag The most alarming figure for shareholders is the distributable profit, which currently stands at a negative NPR 7.39 billion. In the banking sector, a negative distributable profit acts as a legal barrier to dividends. Until NIC Asia can recover this massive shortfall through future earnings or debt recovery, it remains legally prohibited from distributing bonus shares or cash dividends to its investors.
Impact on Shareholder Value
Earnings Per Share (EPS): The EPS has dwindled to a mere NPR 1.76, down from NPR 2.04 in the previous year.
Valuation Concerns: Due to the low earnings, the bank’s Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio has ballooned to 188.44 times, suggesting that the stock is extremely expensive relative to its current earning capacity.
Net Worth: The net worth per share remains stable at NPR 198.33, providing a book-value anchor despite the earnings volatility.
Liquidity vs. Utilization NIC Asia currently holds NPR 327.50 billion in deposits but has only utilized NPR 209.31 billion in loans. This creates a significant gap, indicating that the bank has ample liquidity but is being extremely cautious—or is facing low demand—in the credit market.
Detailed Interpretation: The "Clean-up" Phase
The data indicates that NIC Asia Bank is currently in a "Regulatory and Risk Clean-up" phase. After years of hyper-aggressive loan expansion, the bank is now dealing with the aftermath of deteriorating asset quality.
The Provisioning Cycle: The NPR 2.43 billion impairment charge shows that the bank is being forced to prioritize balance sheet health over reported profits. This is a painful but necessary step to stabilize the institution.
Dividend Drought: With a negative distributable profit of over 7 billion, shareholders should brace for a "No Dividend" scenario for at least the next one to two fiscal years, unless there is a massive recovery of bad loans.
Market Sentiment: The massive P/E ratio of 188 indicates a "valuation trap" for short-term traders. However, long-term investors may be looking at the net worth (NPR 198) as a sign that the bank still has significant underlying assets if it can successfully navigate this recovery period.
